The likelihood of this happening and the time it takes to execute creates opportunity. By delaying the announcement of whether he will run again into mid-2023, Biden could act as a lightning rod to draw GOP attention and resources and then announce he’s not running in 2024. The GOP and the right-wing media ecosphere would quickly pounce on the likely successors, but they would be getting a late start and with multiple targets, their efforts would be more diffused.